Probability
Madhya Pradesh Board · Class 11 · Mathematics
NCERT Solutions for Probability — Madhya Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics.
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EXERCISE 14.1
1A die is rolled. Let E be the event "die shows 4' and F be the event "die shows even number". Are E and F mutually exclusive?Show solution
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2A die is thrown. Describe the following events:Show solution
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3An experiment involves rolling a pair of dice and recording the numbers that come up. Describe the following events:
A: the sum is greater than 8, B: 2 occurs on either die
C: the sum is at least 7 and a multiple of 3.
Which pairs of these events are mutually exclusive?Show solution
- A: sum .
- B: 2 occurs on either die.
- C: sum is at least 7 and a multiple of 3, so the sum is or .
The mutually exclusive pairs are:
- A and C: if the sum is or , it is not possible for the sum to be greater than ? Actually and are greater than , so A and C are not mutually exclusive.
- A and B: they can happen together, for example gives sum not in A, but gives not in A; however no. Check a case with sum and a 2, such as gives , not enough; gives ; gives . So A and B are mutually exclusive.
- B and C: can happen together, e.g. is impossible, but sum not in C. No common outcome with sum or containing a 2 among two dice? gives 9 but no 2. So B and C are mutually exclusive.
Thus, the mutually exclusive pairs are (A, B) and (B, C).
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4Three coins are tossed once. Let A denote the event 'three heads show', B denote the event "two heads and one tail show", C denote the event" three tails show and D denote the event 'a head shows on the first coin". Which events are
(i) mutually exclusive? (ii) simple? (iii) Compound?Show solution
.
- A = {HHH} is a simple event.
- B = {HHT, HTH, THH} is a compound event.
- C = {TTT} is a simple event.
- D = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH} (a head shows on the first coin) is a compound event.
Mutually exclusive events are any pair with no common outcome:
- and
- and
- and
- and
Simple events: and .
Compound events: and .
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5Three coins are tossed. Describe
(i) Two events which are mutually exclusive.
(ii) Three events which are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
(iii) Two events, which are not mutually exclusive.
(iv) Two events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.
(v) Three events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.Show solution
(i) Two mutually exclusive events:
- A: exactly three heads = {HHH}
- B: exactly three tails = {TTT}
(ii) Three mutually exclusive and exhaustive events:
- A: no head = {TTT}
- B: exactly one head = {HTT, THT, TTH}
- C: at least two heads = {HHT, HTH, THH, HHH}
(iii) Two not mutually exclusive events:
- A: at least one head
- B: at least two heads
(iv) Two mutually exclusive but not exhaustive events:
- A: exactly one head
- B: exactly three heads
(v) Three mutually exclusive but not exhaustive events:
- A: exactly one head
- B: exactly two heads
- C: exactly three heads
These do not include the event of no head, so they are not exhaustive.
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6Two dice are thrown. The events A, B and C are as follows:
A: getting an even number on the first die.
B: getting an odd number on the first die.
C: getting the sum of the numbers on the dice ≤ 5.
Describe the events
(i) A' (ii) not B (iii) A or B
(iv) A and B (v) A but not C (vi) B or C
(vii) B and C (viii) A ∩ B' ∩ C'Show solution
Given:
- A: first die is even
- B: first die is odd
- C: sum
Then:
(i) A': first die is odd = B =
(ii) not B: first die is even = A
(iii) A or B: all outcomes, since the first die is either even or odd =
(iv) A and B: impossible, so
(v) A but not C: first die even and sum
(vi) B or C: outcomes where first die is odd or sum
(vii) B and C: first die odd and sum
(viii) A \cap B' \cap C': since , this is , i.e. first die even and sum .
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7Refer to question 6 above, state true or false: (give reason for your answer)
(i) A and B are mutually exclusive
(ii) A and B are mutually exclusive and exhaustive
(iii) A = B'
(iv) A and C are mutually exclusive
(v) A and B' are mutually exclusive.
(vi) A', B', C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.Show solution
- (i) True: A and B cannot happen together.
- (ii) False: they are mutually exclusive, but not exhaustive as stated in the textbook wording? Actually , so they are exhaustive too. Therefore this statement is True.
- (iii) True: because is odd on the first die and is even on the first die.
- (iv) False: A and C are not mutually exclusive; e.g. belongs to both.
- (v) False: , so A and are the same event, not mutually exclusive.
- (vi) False: and are not mutually exclusive, and together with they are not pairwise disjoint exhaustive events.
So the correct set is: (i) True, (ii) True, (iii) True, (iv) False, (v) False, (vi) False.
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EXERCISE 14.2
1Which of the following can not be valid assignment of probabilities for outcomes of sample Space Show solution
1. each probability is between 0 and 1, and
2. the sum is 1.
- (a) , and all are between 0 and 1, so valid.
- (b) , so valid.
- (c) , so invalid.
- (d) contains negative probabilities, so invalid.
- (e) sum , so invalid.
So the assignments that cannot be valid are (c), (d), and (e).
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2A coin is tossed twice, what is the probability that atleast one tail occurs?Show solution
“At least one tail” = .
So
The computed answer is ; if the printed options do not include it, then the correct value is still .
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4A card is selected from a pack of 52 cards.Show solution
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5A fair coin with 1 marked on one face and 6 on the other and a fair die are both tossed. find the probability that the sum of numbers that turn up is (i) 3 (ii) 12Show solution
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6There are four men and six women on the city council. If one council member is selected for a committee at random, how likely is it that it is a woman?Show solution
Probability of selecting a woman:
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7A fair coin is tossed four times, and a person win Re 1 for each head and lose Rs 1.50 for each tail that turns up.
From the sample space calculate how many different amounts of money you can have after four tosses and the probability of having each of these amounts.Show solution
Money won/lost:
For , the amounts are:
- :
- :
- :
- :
- :
So there are 5 different amounts.
With equally likely outcomes, probability of exactly heads is
Thus:
-
-
-
-
-
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9If is the probability of an event, what is the probability of the event 'not A'.Show solution
Given ,
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10A letter is chosen at random from the word 'ASSASSINATION'. Find the probability that letter is (i) a vowel (ii) a consonantShow solution
Vowels: A, I, A, I, O = 5
Consonants = 13 - 5 = 8
So:
- Probability of a vowel
- Probability of a consonant
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11In a lottery, a person chooses six different natural numbers at random from 1 to 20, and if these six numbers match with the six numbers already fixed by the lottery committee, he wins the prize. What is the probability of winning the prize in the game? [Hint order of the numbers is not important.]Show solution
Only one selection matches the fixed winning set.
Therefore,
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14Given P(A) = and P(B) = . Find P(A or B), if A and B are mutually exclusive events.Show solution
So
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(i) The student opted for NCC or NSS.
(ii) The student has opted neither NCC nor NSS.
(iii) The student has opted NSS but not NCC.
Miscellaneous Exercise on Chapter 14
(i) all will be blue? (ii) atleast one will be green?
(a) you both enter the same section?
(b) you both enter the different sections?
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