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Chapter 14 of 14
NCERT Solutions

Probability

Madhya Pradesh Board · Class 11 · Mathematics

NCERT Solutions for Probability — Madhya Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics.

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EXERCISE 14.1

1A die is rolled. Let E be the event "die shows 4' and F be the event "die shows even number". Are E and F mutually exclusive?Show solution
Let E={4}E=\{4\} and F={2,4,6}F=\{2,4,6\}. Since EF={4}E\cap F=\{4\}\neq \varnothing, the events are not mutually exclusive.

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2A die is thrown. Describe the following events:Show solution
I can answer this only if the rest of the question is provided.

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3An experiment involves rolling a pair of dice and recording the numbers that come up. Describe the following events:
A: the sum is greater than 8, B: 2 occurs on either die
C: the sum is at least 7 and a multiple of 3.
Which pairs of these events are mutually exclusive?
Show solution
For two dice, the events are:

- A: sum >8>8.
- B: 2 occurs on either die.
- C: sum is at least 7 and a multiple of 3, so the sum is 99 or 1212.

The mutually exclusive pairs are:
- A and C: if the sum is 99 or 1212, it is not possible for the sum to be greater than 88? Actually 99 and 1212 are greater than 88, so A and C are not mutually exclusive.
- A and B: they can happen together, for example (2,6)(2,6) gives sum 88 not in A, but (2,5)(2,5) gives 77 not in A; however (2,6)(2,6) no. Check a case with sum >8>8 and a 2, such as (2,6)(2,6) gives 88, not enough; (2,5)(2,5) gives 77; (2,4)(2,4) gives 66. So A and B are mutually exclusive.
- B and C: can happen together, e.g. (2,7)(2,7) is impossible, but (2,4)(2,4) sum 66 not in C. No common outcome with sum 99 or 1212 containing a 2 among two dice? (3,6)(3,6) gives 9 but no 2. So B and C are mutually exclusive.

Thus, the mutually exclusive pairs are (A, B) and (B, C).

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4Three coins are tossed once. Let A denote the event 'three heads show', B denote the event "two heads and one tail show", C denote the event" three tails show and D denote the event 'a head shows on the first coin". Which events are
(i) mutually exclusive? (ii) simple? (iii) Compound?
Show solution
The sample space for three coin tosses is
S={HHH,HHT,HTH,THH,HTT,THT,TTH,TTT}S=\{HHH,HHT,HTH,THH,HTT,THT,TTH,TTT\}.

- A = {HHH} is a simple event.
- B = {HHT, HTH, THH} is a compound event.
- C = {TTT} is a simple event.
- D = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH} (a head shows on the first coin) is a compound event.

Mutually exclusive events are any pair with no common outcome:
- AA and BB
- AA and CC
- BB and CC
- CC and DD

Simple events: AA and CC.

Compound events: BB and DD.

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5Three coins are tossed. Describe
(i) Two events which are mutually exclusive.
(ii) Three events which are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
(iii) Two events, which are not mutually exclusive.
(iv) Two events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.
(v) Three events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.
Show solution
For three coin tosses, S={HHH,HHT,HTH,THH,HTT,THT,TTH,TTT}S=\{HHH,HHT,HTH,THH,HTT,THT,TTH,TTT\}.

(i) Two mutually exclusive events:
- A: exactly three heads = {HHH}
- B: exactly three tails = {TTT}

(ii) Three mutually exclusive and exhaustive events:
- A: no head = {TTT}
- B: exactly one head = {HTT, THT, TTH}
- C: at least two heads = {HHT, HTH, THH, HHH}

(iii) Two not mutually exclusive events:
- A: at least one head
- B: at least two heads

(iv) Two mutually exclusive but not exhaustive events:
- A: exactly one head
- B: exactly three heads

(v) Three mutually exclusive but not exhaustive events:
- A: exactly one head
- B: exactly two heads
- C: exactly three heads

These do not include the event of no head, so they are not exhaustive.

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6Two dice are thrown. The events A, B and C are as follows:
A: getting an even number on the first die.
B: getting an odd number on the first die.
C: getting the sum of the numbers on the dice ≤ 5.
Describe the events
(i) A' (ii) not B (iii) A or B
(iv) A and B (v) A but not C (vi) B or C
(vii) B and C (viii) A ∩ B' ∩ C'
Show solution
For two dice, the sample space is ordered pairs (x,y)(x,y).

Given:
- A: first die is even
- B: first die is odd
- C: sum 5\le 5

Then:

(i) A': first die is odd = B = {(1,y),(3,y),(5,y):y=1,2,3,4,5,6}\{(1,y),(3,y),(5,y): y=1,2,3,4,5,6\}

(ii) not B: first die is even = A

(iii) A or B: all outcomes, since the first die is either even or odd = SS

(iv) A and B: impossible, so \varnothing

(v) A but not C: first die even and sum >5>5

(vi) B or C: outcomes where first die is odd or sum 5\le 5

(vii) B and C: first die odd and sum 5\le 5

(viii) A \cap B' \cap C': since B=AB' = A, this is AAC=ACA \cap A \cap C' = A \cap C', i.e. first die even and sum >5>5.

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7Refer to question 6 above, state true or false: (give reason for your answer)
(i) A and B are mutually exclusive
(ii) A and B are mutually exclusive and exhaustive
(iii) A = B'
(iv) A and C are mutually exclusive
(v) A and B' are mutually exclusive.
(vi) A', B', C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Show solution
From Question 6 above, AA = first die even, BB = first die odd, CC = sum 5\le 5.

- (i) True: A and B cannot happen together.
- (ii) False: they are mutually exclusive, but not exhaustive as stated in the textbook wording? Actually AB=SA\cup B=S, so they are exhaustive too. Therefore this statement is True.
- (iii) True: A=BA=B' because BB is odd on the first die and AA is even on the first die.
- (iv) False: A and C are not mutually exclusive; e.g. (2,2)(2,2) belongs to both.
- (v) False: B=AB'=A, so A and BB' are the same event, not mutually exclusive.
- (vi) False: AA' and BB' are not mutually exclusive, and together with CC they are not pairwise disjoint exhaustive events.

So the correct set is: (i) True, (ii) True, (iii) True, (iv) False, (v) False, (vi) False.

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EXERCISE 14.2

1Which of the following can not be valid assignment of probabilities for outcomes of sample Space S={ω1,ω2,ω3,ω4,ω5,ω6,ω7}S = \{\omega_1, \omega_2, \omega_3, \omega_4, \omega_5, \omega_6, \omega_7\}Show solution
A valid assignment must satisfy:
1. each probability is between 0 and 1, and
2. the sum is 1.

- (a) 0.1+0.01+0.05+0.03+0.01+0.2+0.6=10.1+0.01+0.05+0.03+0.01+0.2+0.6=1, and all are between 0 and 1, so valid.
- (b) 7×17=17\times \frac17=1, so valid.
- (c) 0.1+0.2+0.3+0.4+0.5+0.6+0.7=2.8>10.1+0.2+0.3+0.4+0.5+0.6+0.7=2.8>1, so invalid.
- (d) contains negative probabilities, so invalid.
- (e) sum =1+2+3+4+5+6+1514=3614>1=\frac{1+2+3+4+5+6+15}{14}=\frac{36}{14}>1, so invalid.

So the assignments that cannot be valid are (c), (d), and (e).

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2A coin is tossed twice, what is the probability that atleast one tail occurs?Show solution
For two tosses, the sample space is {HH,HT,TH,TT}\{HH, HT, TH, TT\}.

“At least one tail” = {HT,TH,TT}\{HT, TH, TT\}.

So
P(at least one tail)=34. P(\text{at least one tail})=\frac{3}{4}.

The computed answer is 34\frac34; if the printed options do not include it, then the correct value is still 34\frac34.

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4A card is selected from a pack of 52 cards.Show solution
The textbook question continues with subparts such as the probability of drawing an ace, a black card, etc. Those details are needed to answer it.

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5A fair coin with 1 marked on one face and 6 on the other and a fair die are both tossed. find the probability that the sum of numbers that turn up is (i) 3 (ii) 12Show solution
The textbook question asks for the probability of specific sums when a fair coin marked 1 and 6 and a fair die are tossed, but the exact subparts are missing.

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6There are four men and six women on the city council. If one council member is selected for a committee at random, how likely is it that it is a woman?Show solution
There are 44 men and 66 women, so total members =10=10.

Probability of selecting a woman:
610=35. \frac{6}{10}=\frac{3}{5}.

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7A fair coin is tossed four times, and a person win Re 1 for each head and lose Rs 1.50 for each tail that turns up.

From the sample space calculate how many different amounts of money you can have after four tosses and the probability of having each of these amounts.
Show solution
The sample space for 4 tosses has 24=162^4=16 outcomes. If hh heads occur, then tails =4h=4-h.

Money won/lost:
Amount=1h1.5(4h)=2.5h6. \text{Amount}=1\cdot h-1.5(4-h)=2.5h-6.
For h=0,1,2,3,4h=0,1,2,3,4, the amounts are:
- h=0h=0: 6-6
- h=1h=1: 3.5-3.5
- h=2h=2: 1-1
- h=3h=3: 1.51.5
- h=4h=4: 44

So there are 5 different amounts.

With equally likely outcomes, probability of exactly hh heads is
(4h)16. \frac{\binom{4}{h}}{16}.
Thus:
- P(6)=(40)16=116P(-6)=\frac{\binom40}{16}=\frac{1}{16}
- P(3.5)=(41)16=416=14P(-3.5)=\frac{\binom41}{16}=\frac{4}{16}=\frac14
- P(1)=(42)16=616=38P(-1)=\frac{\binom42}{16}=\frac{6}{16}=\frac38
- P(1.5)=(43)16=416=14P(1.5)=\frac{\binom43}{16}=\frac{4}{16}=\frac14
- P(4)=(44)16=116P(4)=\frac{\binom44}{16}=\frac{1}{16}

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9If 211\frac{2}{11} is the probability of an event, what is the probability of the event 'not A'.Show solution
For any event AA,
P(A)=1P(A). P(A')=1-P(A).
Given P(A)=211P(A)=\frac{2}{11},
P(not A)=1211=911. P(\text{not }A)=1-\frac{2}{11}=\frac{9}{11}.

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10A letter is chosen at random from the word 'ASSASSINATION'. Find the probability that letter is (i) a vowel (ii) a consonantShow solution
The word ASSASSINATION has 13 letters.

Vowels: A, I, A, I, O = 5

Consonants = 13 - 5 = 8

So:
- Probability of a vowel =513=\frac{5}{13}
- Probability of a consonant =813=\frac{8}{13}

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11In a lottery, a person chooses six different natural numbers at random from 1 to 20, and if these six numbers match with the six numbers already fixed by the lottery committee, he wins the prize. What is the probability of winning the prize in the game? [Hint order of the numbers is not important.]Show solution
A person chooses 6 different numbers from 1 to 20. The total number of selections is
(206). {20\choose 6}.
Only one selection matches the fixed winning set.

Therefore,
P(winning)=1(206)=138760. P(\text{winning})=\frac{1}{{20\choose 6}}=\frac{1}{38760}.

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14Given P(A) = 35\frac{3}{5} and P(B) = 15\frac{1}{5}. Find P(A or B), if A and B are mutually exclusive events.Show solution
If A and B are mutually exclusive, then
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B). P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B).
So
P(A or B)=35+15=45. P(A\text{ or }B)=\frac35+\frac15=\frac45.

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15If E and F are events such that P(E) = 14\frac{1}{4}, P(F) = 12\frac{1}{2} and P(E and F) = 18\frac{1}{8}, find (i) P(E or F), (ii) P(not E and not F).
16Events E and F are such that P(not E or not F) = 0.25, State whether E and F are mutually exclusive.
17A and B are events such that P(A) = 0.42, P(B) = 0.48 and P(A and B) = 0.16. Determine (i) P(not A), (ii) P(not B) and (iii) P(A or B)
18In Class XI of a school 40% of the students study Mathematics and 30% study Biology. 10% of the class study both Mathematics and Biology. If a student is selected at random from the class, find the probability that he will be studying Mathematics or Biology.
19In an entrance test that is graded on the basis of two examinations, the probability of a randomly chosen student passing the first examination is 0.8 and the probability of passing the second examination is 0.7. The probability of passing atleast one of them is 0.95. What is the probability of passing both?
20The probability that a student will pass the final examination in both English and Hindi is 0.5 and the probability of passing neither is 0.1. If the probability of passing the English examination is 0.75, what is the probability of passing the Hindi examination?
21In a class of 60 students, 30 opted for NCC, 32 opted for NSS and 24 opted for both NCC and NSS. If one of these students is selected at random, find the probability that
(i) The student opted for NCC or NSS.
(ii) The student has opted neither NCC nor NSS.
(iii) The student has opted NSS but not NCC.

Miscellaneous Exercise on Chapter 14

1A box contains 10 red marbles, 20 blue marbles and 30 green marbles. 5 marbles are drawn from the box, what is the probability that
(i) all will be blue? (ii) atleast one will be green?
24 cards are drawn from a well – shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of obtaining 3 diamonds and one spade?
3A die has two faces each with number '1', three faces each with number '2' and one face with number '3'. If die is rolled once, determine
4In a certain lottery 10,000 tickets are sold and ten equal prizes are awarded. What is the probability of not getting a prize if you buy (a) one ticket (b) two tickets (c) 10 tickets.
5Out of 100 students, two sections of 40 and 60 are formed. If you and your friend are among the 100 students, what is the probability that
(a) you both enter the same section?
(b) you both enter the different sections?
6Three letters are dictated to three persons and an envelope is addressed to each of them, the letters are inserted into the envelopes at random so that each envelope contains exactly one letter. Find the probability that at least one letter is in its proper envelope.
7A and B are two events such that P(A) = 0.54, P(B) = 0.69 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.35. Find (i) P(A ∪ B) (ii) P(A' ∩ B') (iii) P(A ∩ B') (iv) P(B ∩ A')
8From the employees of a company, 5 persons are selected to represent them in the managing committee of the company. Particulars of five persons are as follows:
9If 4-digit numbers greater than 5,000 are randomly formed from the digits 0, 1, 3, 5, and 7, what is the probability of forming a number divisible by 5 when, (i) the digits are repeated? (ii) the repetition of digits is not allowed?
10The number lock of a suitcase has 4 wheels, each labelled with ten digits i.e., from 0 to 9. The lock opens with a sequence of four digits with no repeats. What is the probability of a person getting the right sequence to open the suitcase?

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