Probability
Uttar Pradesh Board · Class 11 · Mathematics
NCERT Solutions for Probability — Uttar Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics.
Interactive on Super Tutor
Studying Probability? Get the full interactive chapter.
Quizzes, flashcards, AI doubt-solver and a step-by-step study plan — built for ncert solutions and more.
1,000+ Class 11 students started this chapter today
Exercise 14.1
1A die is rolled. Let E be the event 'die shows 4' and F be the event 'die shows even number'. Are E and F mutually exclusive?Show solution
Event E = {4} (die shows 4)
Event F = {2, 4, 6} (die shows even number)
Check for mutual exclusivity: Two events are mutually exclusive if their intersection is empty, i.e., E ∩ F = φ.
Since E ∩ F ≠ φ, E and F are NOT mutually exclusive.
2A die is thrown. Describe the following events:
(i) A: a number less than 7
(ii) B: a number greater than 7
(iii) C: a multiple of 3
(iv) D: a number less than 4
(v) E: an even number greater than 4
(vi) F: a number not less than 3
Also find A∪B, A∩B, B∪C, E∩F, D∩E, A−C, D−E, E∩F', F'Show solution
(i) A: a number less than 7
(ii) B: a number greater than 7
No face of a die shows a number greater than 7.
(iii) C: a multiple of 3
(iv) D: a number less than 4
(v) E: an even number greater than 4
(vi) F: a number not less than 3 (i.e., ≥ 3)
Now the required set operations:
3An experiment involves rolling a pair of dice and recording the numbers that come up. Describe the following events:
A: the sum is greater than 8, B: 2 occurs on either die
C: the sum is at least 7 and a multiple of 3.
Which pairs of these events are mutually exclusive?Show solution
Event A: sum > 8
Event B: 2 occurs on either die
Event C: sum is at least 7 AND a multiple of 3 (i.e., sum = 9 or 12)
Checking mutual exclusivity:
: For sum > 8 with a 2 on either die, the other die must show > 6, which is impossible.
So A and B are mutually exclusive.
:
So A and C are not mutually exclusive.
: For C, the sums are 9 or 12. With a 2 on either die, maximum sum = 2+6 = 8 < 9.
So B and C are mutually exclusive.
Conclusion: The pairs (A, B) and (B, C) are mutually exclusive.
4Three coins are tossed once. Let A denote the event 'three heads show', B denote the event 'two heads and one tail show', C denote the event 'three tails show' and D denote the event 'a head shows on the first coin'. Which events are
(i) mutually exclusive?
(ii) simple?
(iii) Compound?Show solution
The events are:
-
-
-
-
(i) Mutually exclusive events:
Two events are mutually exclusive if their intersection is empty.
- ✓
- ✓
- ✓
- ✗
- ✗
- ✓
Mutually exclusive pairs: (A, B), (A, C), (B, C), (C, D).
(ii) Simple events:
A simple event has only one sample point.
- — Simple
- — Simple
(iii) Compound events:
A compound event has more than one sample point.
- — Compound
- — Compound
5Three coins are tossed. Describe
(i) Two events which are mutually exclusive.
(ii) Three events which are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
(iii) Two events, which are not mutually exclusive.
(iv) Two events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.
(v) Three events which are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive.Show solution
(i) Two mutually exclusive events:
Let = event of getting all heads =
Let = event of getting all tails =
, so they are mutually exclusive.
(ii) Three mutually exclusive and exhaustive events:
Let = event of getting no head =
Let = event of getting exactly one head =
Let = event of getting at least two heads =
, , (mutually exclusive)
(exhaustive)
(iii) Two events which are NOT mutually exclusive:
Let = event of getting at least two heads =
Let = event of getting head on first coin =
, so they are not mutually exclusive.
(iv) Two mutually exclusive but NOT exhaustive events:
Let = event of getting exactly one head =
Let = event of getting exactly two heads =
(mutually exclusive)
(not exhaustive, since and are not included)
(v) Three mutually exclusive but NOT exhaustive events:
Let = , = , =
, , (mutually exclusive)
(not exhaustive)
6Two dice are thrown. The events A, B and C are as follows:
A: getting an even number on the first die.
B: getting an odd number on the first die.
C: getting the sum of the numbers on the dice ≤ 5.
Describe the events (i) A' (ii) not B (iii) A or B (iv) A and B (v) A but not C (vi) B or C (vii) B and C (viii) A∩B'∩C'Show solution
(All pairs where sum ≤ 5)
(i) A' (not A) = B (getting an odd number on the first die)
(ii) not B = A (getting an even number on the first die)
(iii) A or B = A ∪ B = S (every outcome has either even or odd on first die)
(iv) A and B = A ∩ B = φ (first die cannot be both even and odd)
(v) A but not C = A − C = A ∩ C'
From A, remove elements that are also in C:
(vi) B or C = B ∪ C
; elements in C not in B:
(vii) B and C = B ∩ C
Elements common to both B and C (odd first die and sum ≤ 5):
(viii) A ∩ B' ∩ C'
Since , we have .
So
7Refer to question 6 above, state true or false: (give reason for your answer)
(i) A and B are mutually exclusive
(ii) A and B are mutually exclusive and exhaustive
(iii) A = B'
(iv) A and C are mutually exclusive
(v) A and B' are mutually exclusive.
(vi) A', B', C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.Show solution
- A = getting even number on first die
- B = getting odd number on first die
- C = sum ≤ 5
- ,
(i) A and B are mutually exclusive — TRUE
because the first die cannot show both an even and an odd number simultaneously.
(ii) A and B are mutually exclusive and exhaustive — TRUE
(mutually exclusive) and (every outcome has either even or odd on first die, so exhaustive).
(iii) A = B' — TRUE
= all outcomes where first die is NOT odd = all outcomes where first die is even = A.
Hence .
(iv) A and C are mutually exclusive — FALSE
.
So A and C are not mutually exclusive.
(v) A and B' are mutually exclusive — FALSE
Since , we have .
So A and B' are not mutually exclusive.
(vi) A', B', C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive — FALSE
and .
✓
But .
Also .
So they are NOT mutually exclusive, hence the statement is FALSE.
Exercise 14.2
1Which of the following cannot be valid assignment of probabilities for outcomes of sample space S = {ω₁, ω₂, ω₃, ω₄, ω₅, ω₆, ω₇}?
(a) 0.1, 0.01, 0.05, 0.03, 0.01, 0.2, 0.6
(b) 1/7, 1/7, 1/7, 1/7, 1/7, 1/7, 1/7
(c) 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7
(d) −0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, −0.2, 0.1, 0.3
(e) 1/14, 2/14, 3/14, 4/14, 5/14, 6/14, 15/14Show solution
1. for all
2.
(a) Values: 0.1, 0.01, 0.05, 0.03, 0.01, 0.2, 0.6
All values are between 0 and 1. ✓
Sum ✓
Valid assignment.
(b) Values: each
All values are between 0 and 1. ✓
Sum ✓
Valid assignment.
(c) Values: 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7
All values are between 0 and 1. ✓
Sum ✗
NOT a valid assignment.
(d) Values: −0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, −0.2, 0.1, 0.3
P(\omega_1) = -0.1 < 0 and P(\omega_5) = -0.2 < 0 ✗
Probability cannot be negative.
NOT a valid assignment.
(e) Values:
\frac{15}{14} > 1 ✗
Probability cannot exceed 1.
NOT a valid assignment.
Conclusion: Assignments (c), (d), and (e) are not valid.
2A coin is tossed twice, what is the probability that at least one tail occurs?Show solution
Sample space: , so .
Let A = event that at least one tail occurs.
The probability that at least one tail occurs is .
3A die is thrown, find the probability of following events:
(i) A prime number will appear,
(ii) A number greater than or equal to 3 will appear,
(iii) A number less than or equal to one will appear,
(iv) A number more than 6 will appear,
(v) A number less than 6 will appear.Show solution
(i) A prime number will appear:
Prime numbers on a die:
(ii) A number ≥ 3 will appear:
Favourable outcomes:
(iii) A number ≤ 1 will appear:
Favourable outcomes:
(iv) A number more than 6 will appear:
No face shows a number > 6, so this is an impossible event.
P(> 6) = \frac{0}{6} = 0
(v) A number less than 6 will appear:
Favourable outcomes:
P(< 6) = \frac{5}{6}
4A card is selected from a pack of 52 cards.
(a) How many points are there in the sample space?
(b) Calculate the probability that the card is an ace of spades.
(c) Calculate the probability that the card is (i) an ace (ii) black card.Show solution
(a) The sample space consists of all 52 cards.
There are 52 points in the sample space.
(b) Probability that the card is an ace of spades:
There is only 1 ace of spades in the deck.
(c)(i) Probability that the card is an ace:
There are 4 aces in a deck (one of each suit).
(c)(ii) Probability that the card is a black card:
There are 26 black cards (13 spades + 13 clubs).
5A fair coin with 1 marked on one face and 6 on the other and a fair die are both tossed. Find the probability that the sum of numbers that turn up is (i) 3 (ii) 12Show solution
Sample space:
(i) Sum = 3:
Possible combinations: coin shows 1 and die shows 2, i.e., .
(ii) Sum = 12:
Possible combinations: coin shows 6 and die shows 6, i.e., .
6There are four men and six women on the city council. If one council member is selected for a committee at random, how likely is it that it is a woman?Show solution
Number of ways to select 1 woman = 6.
Total number of ways to select 1 member = 10.
The probability that the selected member is a woman is .
7A fair coin is tossed four times, and a person wins Re 1 for each head and loses Rs 1.50 for each tail that turns up. From the sample space calculate how many different amounts of money you can have after four tosses and the probability of having each of these amounts.Show solution
Sample space has equally likely outcomes.
Let = number of heads, = number of tails, where .
Amount =
| Heads (h) | Tails (t) | Amount (Rs) | No. of outcomes () | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | | 6 | |
| 3 | 1 | | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | | 1 | |
There are 5 different amounts possible:
-
-
-
-
-
8Three coins are tossed once. Find the probability of getting
(i) 3 heads (ii) 2 heads (iii) at least 2 heads (iv) at most 2 heads (v) no head (vi) 3 tails (vii) exactly two tails (viii) no tail (ix) at most two tailsShow solution
(i) 3 heads:
(ii) 2 heads:
(iii) At least 2 heads:
(iv) At most 2 heads: All outcomes except HHH:
(v) No head:
(vi) 3 tails:
(vii) Exactly two tails:
(viii) No tail:
(ix) At most two tails: All outcomes except TTT:
9If is the probability of an event, what is the probability of the event 'not A'.Show solution
Formula:
The probability of event 'not A' is .
10A letter is chosen at random from the word 'ASSASSINATION'. Find the probability that letter is (i) a vowel (ii) a consonantShow solution
Let us count the letters:
A-S-S-A-S-S-I-N-A-T-I-O-N
Total letters = 13
Vowels: A, A, A, I, I, O → 6 vowels
Consonants: S, S, S, S, N, T, N → 7 consonants
(i) Probability that the letter is a vowel:
(ii) Probability that the letter is a consonant:
11In a lottery, a person chooses six different natural numbers at random from 1 to 20, and if these six numbers match with the six numbers already fixed by the lottery committee, he wins the prize. What is the probability of winning the prize in the game?Show solution
The order of numbers does not matter.
Total ways to choose 6 numbers from 20:
There is only 1 winning combination.
The probability of winning the prize is .
12Check whether the following probabilities P(A) and P(B) are consistently defined
(i) P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.7, P(A∩B) = 0.6
(ii) P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.4, P(A∪B) = 0.8Show solution
- and
-
- All probabilities must be between 0 and 1.
(i) , ,
Here P(A \cap B) = 0.6 > P(A) = 0.5.
But , so must hold.
Since 0.6 > 0.5, this is a contradiction.
Not consistently defined.
(ii) , ,
Using the formula:
Check: ✓ and ✓
Consistently defined.
13Fill in the blanks in following table:
(i) P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/5, P(A∩B) = 1/15, P(A∪B) = ?
(ii) P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = ?, P(A∩B) = 0.25, P(A∪B) = 0.6
(iii) P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.35, P(A∩B) = ?, P(A∪B) = 0.7Show solution
(i) , ,
(ii) , ,
(iii) , ,
14Given P(A) = 3/5 and P(B) = 1/5. Find P(A or B), if A and B are mutually exclusive events.Show solution
Formula: If A and B are mutually exclusive, , so:
P(A or B) = .
15If E and F are events such that P(E) = 1/4, P(F) = 1/2 and P(E and F) = 1/8, find (i) P(E or F), (ii) P(not E and not F).Show solution
(i) P(E or F) = P(E ∪ F):
(ii) P(not E and not F) = P(E' ∩ F'):
By De Morgan's law:
Answers: (i) , (ii)
16Events E and F are such that P(not E or not F) = 0.25, State whether E and F are mutually exclusive.Show solution
By De Morgan's law:
So:
Since , the events E and F are not mutually exclusive.
(For mutually exclusive events, must equal 0.)
17A and B are events such that P(A) = 0.42, P(B) = 0.48 and P(A and B) = 0.16. Determine (i) P(not A), (ii) P(not B) and (iii) P(A or B)Show solution
(i) P(not A):
(ii) P(not B):
(iii) P(A or B):
18In Class XI of a school 40% of the students study Mathematics and 30% study Biology. 10% of the class study both Mathematics and Biology. If a student is selected at random from the class, find the probability that he will be studying Mathematics or Biology.Show solution
Using the addition formula:
The probability that the student studies Mathematics or Biology is 0.60.
19In an entrance test that is graded on the basis of two examinations, the probability of a randomly chosen student passing the first examination is 0.8 and the probability of passing the second examination is 0.7. The probability of passing at least one of them is 0.95. What is the probability of passing both?Show solution
, ,
Using the addition formula:
The probability of passing both examinations is 0.55.
20The probability that a student will pass the final examination in both English and Hindi is 0.5 and the probability of passing neither is 0.1. If the probability of passing the English examination is 0.75, what is the probability of passing the Hindi examination?Show solution
(passing both)
(passing neither)
Step 1: Find .
Step 2: Use the addition formula.
The probability of passing the Hindi examination is 0.65.
21In a class of 60 students, 30 opted for NCC, 32 opted for NSS and 24 opted for both NCC and NSS. If one of these students is selected at random, find the probability that
(i) The student opted for NCC or NSS.
(ii) The student has opted neither NCC nor NSS.
(iii) The student has opted NSS but not NCC.Show solution
(i) P(NCC or NSS):
(ii) P(neither NCC nor NSS):
(iii) P(NSS but not NCC):
Miscellaneous Exercise on Chapter 14
1A box contains 10 red marbles, 20 blue marbles and 30 green marbles. 5 marbles are drawn from the box, what is the probability that (i) all will be blue? (ii) at least one will be green?Show solution
Total ways to draw 5 marbles from 60:
(i) All 5 will be blue:
All 5 must be chosen from 20 blue marbles.
Let us keep it in the form:
(ii) At least one will be green:
Using complementary counting:
P(no green) = all 5 drawn from non-green (10 red + 20 blue = 30 marbles):
Calculating:
24 cards are drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of obtaining 3 diamonds and one spade?Show solution
In a deck: 13 diamonds, 13 spades.
Total ways to draw 4 cards from 52:
Favourable outcomes (3 diamonds from 13 AND 1 spade from 13):
3A die has two faces each with number '1', three faces each with number '2' and one face with number '3'. If die is rolled once, determine
(i) P(2)
(ii) P(1 or 3)
(iii) P(not 3)Show solution
Total outcomes = 6.
(i) P(2):
Number of faces showing 2 = 3
(ii) P(1 or 3):
Faces showing 1 = 2, faces showing 3 = 1
(iii) P(not 3):
4In a certain lottery 10,000 tickets are sold and ten equal prizes are awarded. What is the probability of not getting a prize if you buy (a) one ticket (b) two tickets (c) 10 tickets.Show solution
(a) One ticket:
(b) Two tickets:
Favourable outcomes (both tickets are non-prize):
Total ways to choose 2 tickets from 10,000:
(c) Ten tickets:
5Out of 100 students, two sections of 40 and 60 are formed. If you and your friend are among the 100 students, what is the probability that
(a) you both enter the same section?
(b) you both enter the different sections?Show solution
Total ways to select 40 students for Section I from 100:
(a) Both in the same section:
Case 1: Both in Section I (40 students).
Remaining 38 places filled from remaining 98 students:
Case 2: Both in Section II (60 students).
Section I is filled from remaining 98 students (none of us):
Now, ... Let us use a simpler approach:
Consider just the placement of 2 specific students among 100.
Total ways to assign 2 specific students to sections = ways to choose which section each goes to.
Actually, the simplest method:
Total ways to choose 2 students' positions from 100 for Section I = (choosing 2 from 100 for any 2 spots).
Both in Section I: ways.
Both in Section II: ways.
(b) Both in different sections:
6Three letters are dictated to three persons and an envelope is addressed to each of them, the letters are inserted into the envelopes at random so that each envelope contains exactly one letter. Find the probability that at least one letter is in its proper envelope.Show solution
Total ways to insert 3 letters into 3 envelopes =
Let us list all permutations (1,2,3 represent correct positions):
- (1,2,3): All correct ✓
- (1,3,2): Letter 1 correct
- (2,1,3): Letter 3 correct
- (2,3,1): None correct
- (3,1,2): None correct
- (3,2,1): Letter 2 correct
Outcomes where at least one letter is in correct envelope: (1,2,3), (1,3,2), (2,1,3), (3,2,1) = 4 outcomes
7A and B are two events such that P(A) = 0.54, P(B) = 0.69 and P(A∩B) = 0.35. Find (i) P(A∪B) (ii) P(A'∩B') (iii) P(A∩B') (iv) P(B∩A')Show solution
(i) P(A∪B):
(ii) P(A'∩B') = P((A∪B)'):
By De Morgan's law:
(iii) P(A∩B') = P(A) − P(A∩B):
(Elements in A but not in B)
(iv) P(B∩A') = P(B) − P(A∩B):
(Elements in B but not in A)
8From the employees of a company, 5 persons are selected to represent them in the managing committee of the company. Particulars of five persons are as follows:
1. Harish, M, 30
2. Rohan, M, 33
3. Sheetal, F, 46
4. Alis, F, 28
5. Salim, M, 41
A person is selected at random from this group to act as a spokesperson. What is the probability that the spokesperson will be either male or over 35 years?Show solution
Let M = event that spokesperson is male = {Harish, Rohan, Salim}
Let A = event that spokesperson is over 35 = {Sheetal, Salim}
,
= male AND over 35 = {Salim}
The probability that the spokesperson is either male or over 35 years is .
9If 4-digit numbers greater than 5,000 are randomly formed from the digits 0, 1, 3, 5, and 7, what is the probability of forming a number divisible by 5 when, (i) the digits are repeated? (ii) the repetition of digits is not allowed?Show solution
For a number > 5000, the first digit must be 5 or 7.
(i) Digits are repeated:
Total 4-digit numbers > 5000:
- First digit: 5 or 7 → 2 choices
- Remaining 3 digits: each can be any of 5 digits → ways
- Total =
Numbers divisible by 5 (last digit must be 0 or 5):
- First digit: 5 or 7 → 2 choices
- Middle two digits: ways
- Last digit: 0 or 5 → 2 choices
- Total =
(ii) Repetition not allowed:
Total 4-digit numbers > 5000 (no repetition):
- First digit = 5: remaining 3 digits from {0,1,3,7} → ways
- First digit = 7: remaining 3 digits from {0,1,3,5} → ways
- Total =
Numbers divisible by 5 (last digit = 0 or 5), no repetition:
Case 1: First digit = 5, last digit = 0
Middle 2 digits from remaining {1,3,7}: ways
Case 2: First digit = 7, last digit = 0
Middle 2 digits from remaining {1,3,5}: ways
Case 3: First digit = 7, last digit = 5
Middle 2 digits from remaining {0,1,3}: ways
(Note: First digit = 5 and last digit = 5 is not possible since repetition is not allowed.)
Total favourable =
10The number lock of a suitcase has 4 wheels, each labelled with ten digits i.e., from 0 to 9. The lock opens with a sequence of four digits with no repeats. What is the probability of a person getting the right sequence to open the suitcase?Show solution
Total number of 4-digit sequences with no repetition from 10 digits:
There is only 1 correct sequence.
The probability of getting the right sequence is .
Stuck on a step?
Ask Super Tutor AI to explain any solution on this page in a simpler way — free, 24x7.
Ask a Doubt FreeFrequently Asked Questions
What are the important topics in Probability for Uttar Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics?
How to score full marks in Probability — Uttar Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics?
Where can I get free NCERT Solutions for Probability Class 11 Mathematics?
Sources & Official References
Content is aligned to the official syllabus. Refer to the board website for the latest curriculum.
More resources for Probability
Important Questions
Practice with board exam-style questions
Syllabus
What topics to cover
Revision Notes
Key points for last-minute revision
Study Plan
Step-by-step plan to ace this chapter
Flashcards
Quick-fire cards for active recall
Formula Sheet
All formulas in one place
Chapter Summary
Understand the chapter at a glance
Practice Quiz
Test yourself with a quick quiz
Concept Maps
See how topics connect visually
For serious students
Get the full Probability chapter — for free.
Quizzes, flashcards, AI doubt-solver and a step-by-step study plan for Uttar Pradesh Board Class 11 Mathematics.