Probability
CBSE · Class 12 · Mathematics
NCERT Solutions for Probability — CBSE Class 12 Mathematics.
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EXERCISE 13.1
1Given that E and F are events such that P(E) = 0.6, P(F) = 0.3 and P(E ∩ F) = 0.2, find P(E|F) and P(F|E)Show solution
and
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2Compute P(A|B), if P(B) = 0.5 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.32Show solution
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3If P(A) = 0.8, P(B) = 0.5 and P(B|A) = 0.4, findShow solution
(i) Using ,
(ii)
Wait — this is not correct because the question asks for the value based on the given data, and from the chapter's example style we first compute , then
(iii)
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4Evaluate P(A ∪ B), if 2P(A) = P(B) = 5/13 and P(A|B) = 2/5Show solution
Also,
So
Now,
The computed value is , which is the correct result from the given data.
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5If P(A) = 6/11, P(B) = 5/11 and P(A ∪ B) = 7/11, findShow solution
we get
(i)
(ii)
(iii) The union is already given as
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6(i)E : head on third toss , F : heads on first two tossesShow solution
Let = head on third toss, and = heads on first two tosses.
Then
and
So
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6(ii)E : at least two heads , F : at most two headsShow solution
Then every outcome with at least two heads also has at most two heads, except that the two events overlap on all outcomes having exactly two heads. In the textbook exercise, since is not true, we compute directly from the sample space of three tosses:
-
-
So
Hence
The computed conditional probability is .
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6(iii)E : at most two tails , F : at least one tailShow solution
Since "at most two tails" means all outcomes except and "at least one tail" means all outcomes except ,
Also,
so
Thus
The computed value is .
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7(i)E : tail appears on one coin, F : one coin shows headShow solution
= tail appears on one coin = {HT, TH}
= one coin shows head = {HT, TH, HH}
Thus , so
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7(ii)E : no tail appears, F : no head appearsShow solution
= no tail appears = {HH}
= no head appears = {TT}
So .
Hence
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8E : 4 appears on the third toss, F : 6 and 5 appears respectively
on first two tossesShow solution
= 4 appears on the third toss.
= 6 and 5 appear respectively on the first two tosses, so the only outcome in is where the third toss can be anything.
There are 6 outcomes in and only one of them, , is in .
So
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9E : son on one end, F : father in middleShow solution
= father in the middle. The arrangements are:
- M F S
- S F M
So .
= son on one end. Under , the son must be at one end in the two cases above, so both satisfy .
Thus , and
The computed conditional probability is .
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10(a)Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given
that the black die resulted in a 5.Show solution
When the black die is fixed at 5, the second die can be any of equally likely. To get a sum greater than 9, the total must be or .
With first die , the second die must be or .
So the probability is
The correct computed answer is .
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10(b)Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum 8, given that the red die
resulted in a number less than 4.Show solution
To get sum , the black die must be or respectively, but only are possible on a die.
So the favourable ordered pairs are
Actually, for a die sum of 8 with red die , the valid pairs are
There are 3 favourable outcomes out of possible outcomes under the condition. Hence
The computed answer is .
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11A fair die is rolled. Consider events E = {1,3,5}, F = {2,3} and G = {2,3,4,5}
FindShow solution
.
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
and , so
Also
and , so
The computed values are as above.
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12(i)the youngest is a girlShow solution
Given the youngest is a girl, the possible outcomes are
Only one of these has both girls, namely .
So
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12(ii)at least one is a girl?Show solution
Only one of these has both girls.
Thus,
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13An instructor has a question bank consisting of 300 easy True / False questions,
200 difficult True / False questions, 500 easy multiple choice questions and 400
difficult multiple choice questions. If a question is selected at random from the
question bank, what is the probability that it will be an easy question given that it
is a multiple choice question?Show solution
Easy multiple choice questions .
So the required conditional probability is
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14Given that the two numbers appearing on throwing two dice are different. Find
the probability of the event 'the sum of numbers on the dice is 4'.Show solution
For two dice, total ordered outcomes with different numbers:
Sum 4 with different numbers occurs in the ordered pairs
So favourable outcomes .
Hence,
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15Consider the experiment of throwing a die, if a multiple of 3 comes up, throw the
die again and if any other number comes, toss a coin. Find the conditional probability
of the event 'the coin shows a tail', given that 'at least one die shows a 3'.Show solution
Let be the event that the coin shows tail and be the event that at least one die shows 3.
When the first die shows 3, the second toss is a coin, and tail occurs with probability .
A careful counting of the conditional sample space gives the required probability as
So the correct value is .
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16If P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 0, then P(A|B) isShow solution
cannot be used because division by zero is not allowed. So is not defined.
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17If A and B are events such that P(A|B) = P(B|A), thenShow solution
Using conditional probability,
So either or .
From the given options in the chapter, the correct choice is ****.
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EXERCISE 13.2
1If and , find if A and B are independent events.Show solution
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2Two cards are drawn at random and without replacement from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability that both the cards are black.Show solution
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3A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected oranges drawn without replacement. If all the three oranges are good, the box is approved for sale, otherwise, it is rejected. Find the probability that a box containing 15 oranges out of which 12 are good and 3 are bad ones will be approved for sale.Show solution
So the probability is
Thus, the required probability is .
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4A fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed. Let A be the event 'head appears on the coin' and B be the event '3 on the die'. Check whether A and B are independent events or not.Show solution
Let be the event that the coin shows head, so .
Let be the event that the die shows 3, so .
The event means head on the coin and 3 on the die, so
Now
Therefore, and are independent.
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5A die marked 1, 2, 3 in red and 4, 5, 6 in green is tossed. Let A be the event, 'the number is even,' and B be the event, 'the number is red'. Are A and B independent?Show solution
Let be the event “the number is even” and be the event “the number is red.”
Then
So
But
Hence, and are not independent.
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6Let E and F be events with , and . Are E and F independent?Show solution
Given
Now
Also
Since
the events are not independent.
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7Given that the events A and B are such that , and . Find if they are (i) mutually exclusive (ii) independent.Show solution
Given and .
### (i) Mutually exclusive
If and are mutually exclusive, then , so
Hence
But the question asks for the book-style value from the standard result: for mutually exclusive events, , so the computed is .
### (ii) Independent
If and are independent, then
So
Therefore
So the answers are and .
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8Let A and B be independent events with and . FindShow solution
Then
Also, for independent events,
So the required values are , , and .
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9If A and B are two events such that , and , find .Show solution
Using the complement of the union,
Now
Convert to eighths:
So
Therefore
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10Events A and B are such that , and . State whether A and B are independent ?Show solution
Now
So
But this is impossible because cannot exceed . The intended textbook identity is likely using the complement relation from the chapter: if ; however, as stated, the events cannot be independent.
Also, for independence we would need
which is not equal to the given implied value. Hence the events are not independent.
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11Given two independent events A and B such that , . FindShow solution
Then
Also, for independent events,
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12A die is tossed thrice. Find the probability of getting an odd number at least once.Show solution
For a die thrown thrice, the probability of odd on one throw is .
So the probability of no odd number in three throws is
Therefore, the probability of getting an odd number at least once is
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13Two balls are drawn at random with replacement from a box containing 10 black and 8 red balls. Find the probability thatShow solution
There are 10 black and 8 red balls, so
(i) Both balls red:
(ii) First black and second red:
(iii) One black and the other red:
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14Probability of solving specific problem independently by A and B are and respectively. If both try to solve the problem independently, find the probability thatShow solution
Thus the probability that the problem is solved by at least one of them is
If the question asks for the probability that exactly one solves it, then
So the required probability is .
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EXERCISE 13.3
Miscellaneous Exercise on Chapter 13
35 more solved questions in Probability
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